Armstrong B. 2006. Models for the relationship between ambient temperature and daily mortality. Epidemiology 17:624-631.
Armstrong B, Chalabi Z, Fenn B, Hajat S, Kovats RS, Milojevic A, et al. 2010. The association of mortality with high temperatures in a temperate climate: England and wales. J Epidemiol Community Health [Epub ahead of print].
Armstrong BG. 2003. Fixed factors that modify the effects of time-varying factors: Applying the case-only approach. Epidemiology 14:467-472.
Armstrong BG, Mangtani P, Fletcher A, Kovats S, McMichael A, Pattenden S, et al. 2004. Effect of influenza vaccination on excess deaths occurring during periods of high circulation of influenza: Cohort study in elderly people. BMJ 329:660.
Armstrong BG, Gasparrini A, Tobias A. 2014. Conditional poisson models: A flexible alternative to conditional logistic case cross-over analysis. BMC medical research methodology 14:122.
Barone-Adesi F, Gasparrini A, Vizzini L, Merletti F, Richiardi L. 2011. Effects of italian smoking regulation on rates of hospital admission for acute coronary events: A country-wide study. PLoS One 6:e17419.
*Bhaskaran K, Hajat S, Haines A, Herrett E, Wilkinson P, Smeeth L. 2010. Short term effects of temperature on risk of myocardial infarction in england and wales: Time series regression analysis of the myocardial ischaemia national audit project (minap) registry. British Medical Journal 341:c3823.
*Bhaskaran K, Hajat S, Armstrong B, Haines A, Herrett E, Wilkinson P, et al. 2011. The effects of hourly differences in air pollution on the risk of myocardial infarction: Case crossover analysis of the minap database. BMJ 343:d5531.
*Bhaskaran K, Armstrong B, Hajat S, Haines A, Wilkinson P, Smeeth L. 2012. Heat and risk of myocardial infarction: Hourly level case-crossover analysis of minap database. BMJ 345:e8050.
*Bhaskaran K, Gasparrini A, Hajat S, Smeeth L, Armstrong B. 2013. Time series regression studies in environmental epidemiology. International journal of epidemiology 42:1187-1195.
Gasparrini A, Gorini G, Barchielli A. 2009. On the relationship between smoking bans and incidence of acute myocardial infarction. European Journal of Epidemiology 24:597-602.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B. 2010. Time series analysis on the health effects of temperature: Advancements and limitations. Environmental Research.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kenward M. 2010. Distributed lag non-linear models. Statistics in Medicine 29(21): 2224-34.
*Gasparrini A. 2011. Distributed lag linear and non-linear models in r: The package dlnm. Journal of Statistical Software 43:1-20.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B. 2011. The impact of heat waves on mortality. Epidemiology 22:68.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kenward MG. 2011. Multivariate meta-analysis: A method to summarize non-linear associations. Statistics in Medicine 30:2504–-2506.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kenward MG. 2012a. Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations. Statistics in Medicine 31:3821-3839.
*Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kovats S, Wilkinson P. 2012b. The effect of high temperatures on cause-specific mortality in england and wales. Occupational and Environmental Medicine 69:56-61.
Gasparrini A, Leone M. 2014. Attributable risk from distributed lag models. BMC Medical Research Methodology 14:55.
Gasparrini A, Guo Y, Hashizume M, Lavigne E, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, et al. 2015. Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: A multicountry observational study. The Lancet. In Press
*Gouveia N, Fletcher T. 2000. Time series analysis of air pollution and mortality: Effects by cause, age and socioeconomic status. Journal of epidemiology and community health 54:750.
Grundy C, Steinbach R, Edwards P, Green J, Armstrong B, Wilkinson P. 2009. Effect of 20 mph traffic speed zones on road injuries in london, 1986-2006: Controlled interrupted time series analysis. BMJ 339:b4469.
Hajat S, Haines A. 2002. Associations of cold temperatures with gp consultations for respiratory and cardiovascular disease amongst the elderly in london. Int J Epidemiol 31:825-830.
Hajat S, Kovats RS, Atkinson RW, Haines A. 2002. Impact of hot temperatures on death in london: A time series approach. J Epidemiol Community Health 56:367-372.
Hajat S, Armstrong BG, Gouveia N, Wilkinson P. 2005. Mortality displacement of heat-related deaths: A comparison of delhi, sao paulo, and london. Epidemiology 16:613-620.
Hajat S, Armstrong B, Baccini M, Biggeri A, Bisanti L, Russo A, et al. 2006. Impact of high temperatures on mortality: Is there an added heat wave effect? Epidemiology 17:632-638.
Hajat S, Kovats RS, Lachowycz K. 2007. Heat-related and cold-related deaths in england and wales: Who is at risk? Occup Environ Med 64:93-100.
Hajat S, Kosatky T. 2010. Heat-related mortality: A review and exploration of heterogeneity. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 64:753-760.
Hajat S, Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C, Eggen B. 2014. Climate change effects on human health: Projections of temperature-related mortality for the uk during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. Journal of epidemiology and community health 68:641-648.
*Hashizume M, Armstrong B, Hajat S, Wagatsuma Y, Faruque AS, Hayashi T, et al. 2007. Association between climate variability and hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea in bangladesh: Effects and vulnerable groups. Int J Epidemiol 36:1030-1037.
*Hashizume M, Armstrong B, Hajat S, Wagatsuma Y, Faruque AS, Hayashi T, et al. 2008a. The effect of rainfall on the incidence of cholera in bangladesh. Epidemiology 19:103-110.
*Hashizume M, Wagatsuma Y, Faruque AS, Hayashi T, Hunter PR, Armstrong B, et al. 2008b. Factors determining vulnerability to diarrhoea during and after severe floods in bangladesh. J Water Health 6:323-332.
*Hashizume M, Faruque ASG, Wagatsuma Y, Hayashi T, Armstrong B. 2010. Cholera in bangladesh: Climatic components of seasonal variation. Epidemiology 21:706-710.
Imai C, Armstrong B, Chalabi Z, Hashizume M, Mangtani P. 2014. Application of traditional time- series regression models for study of environmental determinants of infectious diseases. In: ISEE.
Kovats RS, Edwards SJ, Hajat S, Armstrong BG, Ebi KL, Menne B. 2004. The effect of temperature on food poisoning: A time-series analysis of salmonellosis in ten european countries. Epidemiol Infect 132:443-453.
Lagarde M. 2011. How to do (or not to do)… assessing the impact of a policy change with routine longitudinal data. Health policy and planning:czr004.
*Lee SJ, Hajat S, Steer PJ, Filippi V. 2008. A time-series analysis of any short-term effects of meteorological and air pollution factors on preterm births in london, uk. Environ Res 106:185-194.
*Lopez Bernal JA, Gasparrini A, Artundo CM, McKee M. 2013. The effect of the late 2000s financial crisis on suicides in spain: An interrupted time-series analysis. European Journal of Public Health 23:732-736.
Lopman B, Armstrong B, Atchison C, Gray JJ. 2009. Host, weather and virological factors drive norovirus epidemiology: Time-series analysis of laboratory surveillance data in england and wales. PLoS One 4:e6671.
Mangtani P, Hajat S, Kovats S, Wilkinson P, Armstrong B. 2006. The association of respiratory syncytial virus infection and influenza with emergency admissions for respiratory disease in london: An analysis of routine surveillance data. Clin Infect Dis 42:640-646.
*McGuinn L, Hajat S, Wilkinson P, Armstrong B, Anderson HR, Monk V, et al. 2012. Ambient temperature and activation of implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Int J Biometeorol.
McMichael AJ, Wilkinson P, Kovats RS, Pattenden S, Hajat S, Armstrong B, et al. 2008. International study of temperature, heat and urban mortality: The ‘isothurm’ project. Int J Epidemiol.
Milojevic A, Armstrong B, Kovats S, Butler B, Hayes E, Leonardi G, et al. 2011. Long-term effects of flooding on mortality in england and wales, 1994-2005: Controlled interrupted time-series analysis. Environ Health 10:11.
Milojevic A, Armstrong B, Hashizume M, McAllister K, Faruque A, Yunus M, et al. 2012. Health effects of flooding in rural bangladesh. Epidemiology 23:107-115.
Milojevic A, Wilkinson P, Armstrong B, Bhaskaran K, Smeeth L, Hajat S. 2014. Short-term effects of air pollution on a range of cardiovascular events in england and wales: Case-crossover analysis of the minap database, hospital admissions and mortality. Heart:heartjnl-2013-304963.
Pattenden S, Armstrong B, Milojevic A, Barratt B, Chalabi Z, Doherty R, et al. 2010. Ozone, heat and mortality in fifteen british conurbations. Occup Environ Med.
*Pudpong N, Hajat S. 2011. High temperature effects on out-patient visits and hospital admissions in chiang mai, thailand. Science of the Total Environment 409:5260-5267.
*Rehill N, Armstrong B, Wilkinson P. 2015. Clarifying life lost due to cold and heat: A new approach. BMJ Open In Press.
*Steinbach R, Edwards P, Green J, Armstrong B. 2014. The contribution of light levels to ethnic differences in child pedestrian injury risk: A case-only analysis. Journal of Transport & Health 1:33-39.
*Tam CC, Rodrigues LC, O’Brien SJ, Hajat S. 2006. Temperature dependence of reported campylobacter infection in england, 1989-1999. Epidemiol Infect 134:119-125.
Tobías A, Armstrong B, Gasparrini A, Diaz J. 2014. Effects of high summer temperatures on mortality in 50 spanish cities. Environmental Health 13:48.
Vardoulakis S, Dear K, Hajat S, Heaviside C, Eggen B. 2014. Comparative assessment of the effects of climate change on heat- and cold-related mortality in the united kingdom and australia. Environmental Health Perspectives 122:1285–-1292.
Wilkinson P, Pattenden S, Armstrong B, Fletcher A, Kovats RS, Mangtani P, et al. 2004. Vulnerability to winter mortality in elderly people in britain: Population based study. Bmj 329:647.
*Wolf J, Armstrong B. 2012. The association of season and temperature with adverse pregnancy outcome in two german states, a time-series analysis. PLoS One 7:e40228.
* Research undertaken while the first author was a student at the LSHTM.
Last updated 1 April 2015. For more up to date publications refer to researchers’ personal web pages